:Product: 19970320RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 079 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 20 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  19/2100Z
TO 20/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO FLARE
ACTIVITY. NEW REGIONS 8024 (S05W04) AND 8025 (N24W55) WERE NUMBERED
TODAY. BOTH REGIONS ARE WEAK, QUIET AND STABLE. REGION 8025 IS A NEW
CYCLE GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 19/2100Z TO 20/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 21 MAR-23 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           20 MAR 072
PREDICTED   21 MAR-23 MAR  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        20 MAR 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 MAR  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 MAR  004/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 MAR-23 MAR  010/005-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 21 MAR-23 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01