:Product: 19970322RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 081 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE DISK WAS
SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN VERY LOW
FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS OCCURRED BETWEEN 0300-0500Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON 23-24 MAR. QUIET TO SLIGHTLY
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 25 MAR WITH THE RETURN OF A HIGH
SPEED STREAM OBSERVED LAST ROTATION.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 MAR-25 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 MAR 071
PREDICTED   23 MAR-25 MAR  071/071/071
90 DAY MEAN        22 MAR 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 MAR  007/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 MAR  011/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 MAR-25 MAR  010/010-010/010-013/013
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 MAR-25 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01