:Product: 19970323RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 082 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR 24 MAR. UNSETTLED TO
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 25-26 MAR AS A SMALL RECURRENT
DISTURBANCE RETURNS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 MAR-26 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 MAR 071
PREDICTED   24 MAR-26 MAR  071/071/071
90 DAY MEAN        23 MAR 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 MAR  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 MAR  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 MAR-26 MAR  010/010-013/013-015/015
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 MAR-26 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/10
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/25/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/10