:Product: 19970325RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 084 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 25 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  24/2100Z
TO 25/2100Z:  THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA
INDICATE THAT THE EXPECTED CORONAL HOLE RELATED STREAM HAS NOT YET
REACHED EARTH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE ON 26-27 MAR. ISOLATED
MINOR STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT PERIOD. QUIET TO
UNSETTLED LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN ON 28 MAR.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 26 MAR-28 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           25 MAR 071
PREDICTED   26 MAR-28 MAR  071/071/071
90 DAY MEAN        25 MAR 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 MAR  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 MAR  011/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 MAR-28 MAR  015/015-020/020-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 26 MAR-28 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/30/15
MINOR STORM           15/15/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/35/20
MINOR STORM           15/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05