:Product: 19970506RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 May 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 126 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 MAY 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS WERE AT HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 MAY-09 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 MAY 072
PREDICTED   07 MAY-09 MAY  073/074/075
90 DAY MEAN        06 MAY 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAY  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAY  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAY-09 MAY  005/010-008/010-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 MAY-09 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/15/15
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/25/25
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05