:Product: 19970507RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 May 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 127 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 MAY 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8038 (N21E44) IS   
THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON THE DISK AND WAS VERY STABLE.             
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY 
LOW.                                                                 
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. THERE WERE SOME VERY  
BRIEF UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE PERIODS AT A FEW HIGH LATITUDE SITES. THE  
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX EXCEEDED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE     
PAST 24 HOURS.                                                       
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS       
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.           
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 MAY-10 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 MAY 072
PREDICTED   08 MAY-10 MAY  072/072/073
90 DAY MEAN        07 MAY 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAY  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAY  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAY-10 MAY  008/005-008/008-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 MAY-10 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05