:Product: 19970508RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 May 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 128 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 MAY 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT
EVENTS OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD. NEW REGION 8039 (N23W32) EMERGED
ON THE DISK TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX EXCEEDED HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET ON THE THIRD DAY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 MAY-11 MAY
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 MAY 072
PREDICTED   09 MAY-11 MAY  072/073/074
90 DAY MEAN        08 MAY 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 MAY  004/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAY  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAY-11 MAY  008/008-008/008-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 MAY-11 MAY
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01