:Product: 19970529RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 May 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF NUMBER 149 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 29 MAY 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  28/2100Z
TO 29/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE
TWO ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 8046 (S26W16), A
SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, AND 8047 (N26E44), A SIX SPOT 'CRO' GROUP,
REMAIN STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 30 MAY-01 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           29 MAY 076
PREDICTED   30 MAY-01 JUN  077/077/077
90 DAY MEAN        29 MAY 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 MAY  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 MAY  004/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 MAY-01 JUN  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 30 MAY-01 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/02/02