:Product: 19970602RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 153 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28E15) GREW
IN WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA, BUT WAS QUIET. REGION 8047 (N26W04)
DECLINED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AT VERY LOW LEVELS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET, FOLLOWING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EARLY
IN THE PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GENERALLY
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED 04 JUNE, IN RESPONSE TO A DSF/CME
ON 31 MAY. QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS SHOULD END THE INTERVAL.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 JUN-05 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 JUN 077
PREDICTED   03 JUN-05 JUN  077/078/078
90 DAY MEAN        02 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUN  010/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUN-05 JUN  005/010-020/020-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 JUN-05 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/40/20
MINOR STORM           01/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/50/25
MINOR STORM           01/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/01