:Product: 19970604RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
***************** CORRECTED COPY (10.7 CM FLUX, 04 JUNE)***********************
SDF NUMBER 155 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28W13)
WAS QUIET AND STABLE. NO FLARE ACTIVITY OCCURRED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE DISTURBANCE RELATED TO A DSF/CME
ON 31 MAY FAILED TO MATERIALIZE.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 JUN-07 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 JUN 074
PREDICTED   05 JUN-07 JUN  075/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        04 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 JUN  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 JUN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 JUN-07 JUN  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 JUN-07 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01