:Product: 19970606RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 157 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28W37), A
DAO SPOT GROUP, IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SLOW DECAY. THE REMAINDER OF
THE VISIBLE DISK IS SPOTLESS AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. REGION 8048 HAS AN OUTSIDE
CHANCE OF ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS, THEN
BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 JUN-09 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 JUN 074
PREDICTED   07 JUN-09 JUN  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        06 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 JUN  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUN  009/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUN-09 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 JUN-09 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01