:Product: 19970607RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 158 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28W50)
CONTINUED ITS SLOW DECAY. A NEW PLAGE REGION APPEARED ON THE NE LIMB
WITH AN UNCONFIRMED REPORT OF MINOR SPOTS. THE REMAINDER OF THE
VISIBLE DISK WAS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 JUN-10 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 JUN 075
PREDICTED   08 JUN-10 JUN  076/076/076
90 DAY MEAN        07 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUN  011/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUN  009/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUN-10 JUN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 JUN-10 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01