:Product: 19970608RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 159 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28W65)
CONTINUED TO DECAY AND WAS STABLE. NEW REGION 8050 (N27E56) AND 8051
(N21W09), BOTH SMALL EMERGING SPOT GROUPS, WERE NUMBERED TODAY. THE
REMAINDER OF THE VISIBLE DISK WAS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GOEMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THEN UNSETTLED
FOR DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 JUN-11 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 JUN 073
PREDICTED   09 JUN-11 JUN  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        08 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUN  010/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUN  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUN-11 JUN  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 JUN-11 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05