:Product: 19970609RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF NUMBER 160 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A COUPLE OF MINOR
UNCORRELATED B-CLASS XRAY BURSTS WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8048 (S28W80)
CONTINUED TO DECAY. REGION 8050 (N27E43) REMAINED RELATIVELY STABLE.
REGION 8051 (N21W22) DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE REGION.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT MID LATITUDES AND
UNSETTLED TO MAJOR STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ENERGETIC ELECTRONS REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT 09/1816Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 JUN-12 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 JUN 073
PREDICTED   10 JUN-12 JUN  074/074/072
90 DAY MEAN        09 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUN  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUN  024/030
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUN-12 JUN  015/015-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 JUN-12 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01