:Product: 19970621RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 172 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 21 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  20/2100Z
TO 21/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION
8053 (S27W07), A SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, IS CURRENTLY THE ONLY
ACTIVE REGIOIN ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 20/2100Z TO 21/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY
INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 22 JUN-24 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           21 JUN 068
PREDICTED   22 JUN-24 JUN  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        21 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 JUN  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUN-24 JUN  005/005-008/008-005/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 22 JUN-24 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/20/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01