:Product: 19970622RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 173 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW
REGION 8055 (N15E08) WAS NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR MOST OF THE PAST 24
HOURS. ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT SOME STATIONS DURING THE
22/0300-0600Z PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 JUN-25 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 JUN 070
PREDICTED   23 JUN-25 JUN  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        22 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JUN  002/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JUN  010/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JUN-25 JUN  010/008-005/010-005/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 JUN-25 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01