:Product: 19970625RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jun 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 176 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 25 JUN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  24/2100Z
TO 25/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO SIGNIFICANT FLARES
OCCURRED. NEW REGION 8056 (N17W18) IS EMERGING RAPIDLY AND ALREADY
HAS SEVERAL SMALL SPOTS AND RUDIMENTARY PENUMBRA.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. A SMALL C-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE IN REGION 8056 IF
GROWTH CONTINUES.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 26 JUN-28 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           25 JUN 072
PREDICTED   26 JUN-28 JUN  074/076/076
90 DAY MEAN        25 JUN 074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 JUN  006/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 JUN  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 JUN-28 JUN  005/012-005/010-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 26 JUN-28 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05