:Product: 19970703RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 184 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SPOTS SEEN EARLY IN THE DAY IN REGION 8058 (S22E30) HAVE FADED AWAY.
SPOTS MAY BE FORMING IN A NEW PLAGE REGION NEAR S27E13.  NO
SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY WAS REPORTED ON THE DISK OR LIMBS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 JUL-06 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 JUL 069
PREDICTED   04 JUL-06 JUL  072/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        03 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUL  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUL  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUL-06 JUL  006/008-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 JUL-06 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01