:Product: 19970705RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 186 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8059 (S30W14) IS
THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON THE DISK AND CONSISTS OF ONE TO TWO VERY
SMALL SPOTS WITHOUT PENUMBRA.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TOMORROW,AND IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET
FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 JUL-08 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 JUL 070
PREDICTED   06 JUL-08 JUL  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        05 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 JUL  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL  005/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL  012/010-007/008-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 JUL-08 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/05/05
MINOR STORM           10/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/10/10
MINOR STORM           15/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01