:Product: 19970706RSGA.txt :Issued: 1997 Jul 06 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SDF NUMBER 187 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 JUL 1997 IA. ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z: SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. IB. SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS. III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 JUL-09 JUL CLASS M 01/01/01 CLASS X 01/01/01 PROTON 01/01/01 PCAF GREEN IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX OBSERVED 06 JUL 068 PREDICTED 07 JUL-09 JUL 068/068/068 90 DAY MEAN 06 JUL 073 V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 JUL 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUL 007/004 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUL-09 JUL 008/007-007/005-007/005 VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 JUL-09 JUL A. MIDDLE LATITUDES ACTIVE 10/10/10 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01 B. HIGH LATITUDES ACTIVE 15/15/15 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01