:Product: 19970707RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 188 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 8060 (N05E19)
EMERGED ON THE DISK TODAY. A SMALL FILAMENT ASSOCIATED WITH ACTIVE
REGION 8059 (S31W36) DISAPPEARED BETWEEN 06/1715Z AND 07/0450Z.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THERE WERE A FEW BRIEF PERIODS OF ACTIVE TO MINOR
STORM LEVELS AT SOME HIGH LATITUDE STATIONS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND SHOULD
BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BY THE THIRD DAY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 JUL-10 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 JUL 070
PREDICTED   08 JUL-10 JUL  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        07 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUL  007/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUL  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUL-10 JUL  010/012-010/012-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 JUL-10 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/25/10
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01