:Product: 19970708RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 189 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. TWO
ACTIVE REGIONS REMAIN ON THE VISIBLE DISK: 8059 (S31W50), A 4 SPOT
'BXO' BETA GROUP, AND 8060 (N05E06), A 2 SPOT 'BXO' GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE DURING THE PERIOD
07/2100-2400, AND HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 JUL-11 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 JUL 070
PREDICTED   09 JUL-11 JUL  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        08 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL  015/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL  005/010-005/008-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 JUL-11 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01