:Product: 19970712RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 193 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 12 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  11/2100Z
TO 12/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT
12/1524Z AND WAS UNCORRELATED OPTICALLY. THE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 11/2100Z TO 12/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 13 JUL-15 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           12 JUL 067
PREDICTED   13 JUL-15 JUL  067/067/067
90 DAY MEAN        12 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 JUL  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 JUL-15 JUL  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 13 JUL-15 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01