:Product: 19970713RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 194 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 13 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  12/2100Z
TO 13/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 12/2100Z TO 13/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE FORECAST WITH QUIET
TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THE THIRD DAY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 14 JUL-16 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           13 JUL 067
PREDICTED   14 JUL-16 JUL  067/067/068
90 DAY MEAN        13 JUL 072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 JUL  003/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 14 JUL-16 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01