:Product: 19970714RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 195 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 14 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  13/2100Z
TO 14/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A NEW REGION WAS NUMBERED
TODAY AS REGION 8061 (S21W02).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE FORECAST WITH QUIET
TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ON THE THIRD DAY OF THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 15 JUL-17 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           14 JUL 068
PREDICTED   15 JUL-17 JUL  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        14 JUL 072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUL  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUL  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUL-17 JUL  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 15 JUL-17 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01