:Product: 19970716RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 197 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 16 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  15/2100Z
TO 16/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
SPOTLESS AND QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 15/2100Z TO 16/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN MOSTLY
QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 17 JUL-19 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           16 JUL 070
PREDICTED   17 JUL-19 JUL  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        16 JUL 072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 JUL  013/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 JUL  006/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 JUL-19 JUL  010/012-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 17 JUL-19 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01