:Product: 19970719RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 200 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 19 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  18/2100Z
TO 19/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A SINGLE, LONG-DURATION A9
XRAY BURST PEAKED AT ABOUT 19/1650Z, BUT HAD NO ASSOCIATED OPTICAL
REPORTS. REGION 8062 (N23E39) IS NOW SPOTLESS, AS IS THE REMAINDER
OF THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 20 JUL-22 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           19 JUL 071
PREDICTED   20 JUL-22 JUL  072/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        19 JUL 072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 JUL  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 JUL  009/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 JUL-22 JUL  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 20 JUL-22 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01