:Product: 19970729RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jul 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 210 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 29 JUL 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  28/2100Z
TO 29/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8066 (N27E22)
PRODUCED A FEW B-CLASS FLARES.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW DUE TO A CORONAL HOLE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 30 JUL-01 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           29 JUL 073
PREDICTED   30 JUL-01 AUG  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        29 JUL 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JUL  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JUL  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JUL-01 AUG  010/020-005/010-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 30 JUL-01 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/25/20
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01