:Product: 19970801RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 213 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE SOLAR DISK IS
CURRENTLY SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 AUG-04 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 AUG 071
PREDICTED   02 AUG-04 AUG  071/071/071
90 DAY MEAN        01 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 JUL  018/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 AUG  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 AUG-04 AUG  015/008-015/010-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 AUG-04 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/30/25
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05