:Product: 19970802RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 214 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A NEW REGION (N06E65) WAS
NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8067.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
ONLY ISOLATED UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 AUG-05 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 AUG 071
PREDICTED   03 AUG-05 AUG  071/071/071
90 DAY MEAN        02 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 AUG  011/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 AUG  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 AUG-05 AUG  010/008-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 AUG-05 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                25/25/25
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01