:Product: 19970805RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 217 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGIONS 8069 (N21W35),
A GROWING BXO SPOT GROUP, AND 8070 (S20E53), A SINGLE AXX SPOT, WERE
NUMBERED TODAY. BOTH REGIONS WERE RELATIVELY QUIET AND STABLE, AS
WAS REGION 8068 (S21E06), A CSO SPOT GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GOEMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 AUG-08 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 AUG 075
PREDICTED   06 AUG-08 AUG  076/078/078
90 DAY MEAN        05 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 AUG  010/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 AUG  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 AUG-08 AUG  005/008-005/007-005/007
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 AUG-08 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01