:Product: 19970808RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 220 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8069 (N23W74)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE MINOR B-CLASS FLARES, ALTHOUGH THE REGION WAS
STABLE IN SIZE. REGION 8070 (S20E11) CONTINUED TO GROW SLOWLY.
REGION 8068 (S19W37) REMAINED STABLE AND QUIET. NEW REGION 8071
(N21E62), AN EMERGING CRO SPOT GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW. REGIONS 8069 AND 8070 STILL HAVE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF
ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNEITC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH
LATITUDES MAY EXPERIENCE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS BY DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 AUG-11 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 AUG 078
PREDICTED   09 AUG-11 AUG  078/076/074
90 DAY MEAN        08 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 AUG  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 AUG  006/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 AUG-11 AUG  005/005-005/005-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 AUG-11 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01