:Product: 19970823RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 235 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A LONG DURATION B3 X-RAY
EVENT WAS RECORDED AT AN UNSPECIFIED LOCATION DURING THE INTERVAL
23/1413-1456Z. REGION 8073 (N13W85), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE
VISIBLE DISK, IS QUIETLY ROTATING AROUND THE WEST LIMB AS A SINGLE
SPOT 'AXX' GROUP.  OLD REGION 8069 APPEARS TO BE RETURNING AROUND
THE EAST LIMB, WITH IT'S CURRENT CHARACTERISTICS AND INTENSITY AS
YET UNDEFINED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 AUG-26 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 AUG 076
PREDICTED   24 AUG-26 AUG  075/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        23 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 AUG  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 AUG  004/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 AUG-26 AUG  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 AUG-26 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01