:Product: 19970824RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Aug 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 236 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 24 AUG 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  23/2100Z
TO 24/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
CURRENTLY SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 23/2100Z TO 24/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, EXCEPT FOR AN ISOLATED PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
RECORDED AT FREDERICKSBURG DURING THE INTERVAL 24/0000-0300Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY
INCREASING TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE DUE TO RECURRENT
ACTIVITY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 25 AUG-27 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           24 AUG 078
PREDICTED   25 AUG-27 AUG  077/077/077
90 DAY MEAN        24 AUG 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 AUG  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 AUG  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 AUG-27 AUG  005/005-005/005-010/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 25 AUG-27 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01