:Product: 19971007RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Oct 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 280 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 OCT 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW WITH MINOR ISOLATED
LOW FREQUENCY SWEEPS AND BURSTS. A SPACE BASED SENSOR DETECTED A
CORONAL MASS EJECTION OFF THE SE LIMB AT 06/1600Z WHICH MAY HAVE
BEEN COINCIDENT WITH A LARGE DSF REPORTED AT 06/2230Z. A SECOND
CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED OFF THE WEST LIMB AT 07/1330Z BUT
NO OPTICAL ACTIVITY WAS OBSERVED AT THAT TIME.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC WAS QUIET AT ALL LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOPHYSICAL FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 OCT-10 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 OCT 084
PREDICTED   08 OCT-10 OCT  085/086/087
90 DAY MEAN        07 OCT 084
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 OCT  003/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 OCT  006/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 OCT-10 OCT  010/015-010/010-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 OCT-10 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01