:Product: 19971025RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Oct 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 298 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 25 OCT 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  24/2100Z
TO 25/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK WAS
GENERALLY QUIET. NEW REGION 8099 (N20E64) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MINOR STORM FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, THEN
DIMINISH TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 26 OCT-28 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           25 OCT 081
PREDICTED   26 OCT-28 OCT  080/080/078
90 DAY MEAN        25 OCT 086
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 OCT  018/025
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 OCT  017/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 OCT-28 OCT  020/025-015/015-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 26 OCT-28 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                45/25/15
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    10/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                45/25/15
MINOR STORM           15/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    10/01/01