:Product: 19971126RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Nov 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 330 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 NOV 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE DUE TO AN M2/SF FLARE AT
26/1837Z IN NEW REGION 8113 (N20E77). THIS REGION IS STILL COMING
INTO VIEW AS IT ROTATES AROUND THE EAST LIMB BUT APPEARS TO BE A
MODERATELY SIZED E-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP. IT HAS ALSO GENERATED SEVERAL
C-CLASS FLARES SINCE YESTERDAY. OTHER DISK REGIONS WERE RELATIVELY
QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE. ANOTHER M-CLASS FLARE IS PROBABLE FROM REGION 8113.
C-CLASS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
WAS HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 NOV-29 NOV
CLASS M    40/40/40
CLASS X    05/05/05
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 NOV 108
PREDICTED   27 NOV-29 NOV  110/115/115
90 DAY MEAN        26 NOV 093
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 NOV  003/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 NOV  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 NOV-29 NOV  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 NOV-29 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01