:Product: 19980102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jan 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 002 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 JAN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED MODERATE. REGION 8124 (S22W89)
PRODUCED AN M1/SN AT 02/1303Z WITH MINOR RADIO BURSTS. AN OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED C6 OCCURRED AT 02/0928Z. REGION 8126 (N20W50) PRODUCED
A C1/SF AT 02/1232Z. WITH REGION 8124 AT THE WEST LIMB, NO
INFORMATION ON EVOLUTION IS AVAILABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY
LOW ON 03 JAN. HOWEVER, A SMALL M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 8124
REMAINS POSSIBLE ON THAT DAY EVEN FROM ONE DAY BEHIND THE WEST LIMB.
VERY LOW TO LOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON 04-05 JAN.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 JAN-05 JAN
CLASS M    15/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 JAN 101
PREDICTED   03 JAN-05 JAN  095/090/088
90 DAY MEAN        02 JAN 095
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JAN  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JAN  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JAN-05 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 JAN-05 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01