:Product: 19980104RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jan 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 004 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 JAN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY SMALL B-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INCREASED
ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR ON JANUARY 6-7 DUE TO A CME OBSERVED ON 03
JANUARY.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 JAN-07 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 JAN 091
PREDICTED   05 JAN-07 JAN  088/086/084
90 DAY MEAN        04 JAN 095
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 JAN  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 JAN  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 JAN-07 JAN  005/005-010/010-015/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 JAN-07 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/25/25
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/30/30
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05