:Product: 19980301RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 060 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  28/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8169 (S21W72) PRODUCED
TWO C-CLASS SUBFLARES AROUND MID PERIOD. OTHERWISE, OCCASIONAL
B-CLASS X-RAY BURSTS OCCURRED. REGION 8171 (S23W23) DISPLAYED
GRADUAL GROWTH THROUGH THE PERIOD. REGIONS 8172 (N22E05) AND 8173
(S17E71) WERE NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGIONS 8169 AND 8171 ARE CAPABLE OF C-CLASS FLARE PRODUCTION.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ACTIVE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE
FINAL DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 MAR-04 MAR
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 MAR 098
PREDICTED   02 MAR-04 MAR  100/098/096
90 DAY MEAN        01 MAR 095
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 FEB  012/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 MAR  008/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 MAR-04 MAR  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 MAR-04 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/20
MINOR STORM           01/01/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/30
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01