:Product: 19980305RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 064 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8171 (S24W75) CONTINUES
TO PRODUCE C-CLASS FLARES. THE LARGEST OF THESE WAS A C4/SF AT
05/0912Z. REGION 8172 (N22W49) HAS GROWN INTO A SMALL C-TYPE SUNSPOT
GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN REGION 8171. AN M-CLASS
FLARE IS POSSIBLE FROM THIS REGION BEFORE IT DEPARTS THE VISIBLE
DISK.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 MAR-08 MAR
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 MAR 097
PREDICTED   06 MAR-08 MAR  094/092/090
90 DAY MEAN        05 MAR 095
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 MAR  004/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 MAR  006/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 MAR-08 MAR  005/008-010/010-010/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 MAR-08 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05