:Product: 19980306RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 065 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8171 (S24W86) GENERATED
THREE C-CLASS EVENTS, THE LARGEST A C5/SF AT 05/2309Z. NEW REGION
8174 (S17E50), A TWO SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS, EXCEPT FOR AN ISOLATED PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT
MIDDLE LATITUDES AND MINOR STORMING AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE
INTERVAL 05/2100-2400Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH
CONDITIONS DECREASING TO MOSTLY QUIET ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 MAR 092
PREDICTED   07 MAR-09 MAR  092/090/092
90 DAY MEAN        06 MAR 095
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR  010/010-010/012-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01