:Product: 19980307RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 066 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW, BASED ON A SINGLE UNCORRELATED
C1 FLARE AT 07/0231Z. NEW REGION 8175 (N44E56), A 2-SPOT 'AXX'
GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY. OF THE THREE ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON
THE VISIBLE DISK, REGION 8174 (S17E37) IS THE MOST COMPLEX AS A
7-SPOT 'DRO' BETA.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS,
EXCEPT FOR A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS RECORDED DURING
THE INTERVAL 07/0600-0900Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 MAR-10 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 MAR 092
PREDICTED   08 MAR-10 MAR  092/094/096
90 DAY MEAN        07 MAR 094
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAR  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAR  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAR-10 MAR  005/008-005/008-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 MAR-10 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01