:Product: 19980308RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 067 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A SINGLE UNCORRELATED C1
FLARE AT 08/1924. THERE ARE CURRENTLY FOUR SPOTTED REGIONS ON THE
VISIBLE DISK, WITH TWO NEW SMALL B-TYPE SPOT GROUPS, 8176 (S42E54)
AND 8177 (S33W21), BEING NUMBERED SINCE LATE YESTERDAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 MAR-11 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 MAR 091
PREDICTED   09 MAR-11 MAR  092/094/096
90 DAY MEAN        08 MAR 094
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 MAR  002/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAR  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAR-11 MAR  005/005-005/010-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 MAR-11 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
PLAIN
OBSERVED FLUX CHANGED FROM 092 TO 091