:Product: 19980309RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Mar 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 068 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 MAR 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8176 (S40E41), CURRENTLY
A 7-SPOT 'CAO' BETA GROUP, GENERATED A SINGLE C1/SB AT 09/1258Z. OLD
REGION 8156, WHICH PRODUCED NUMEROUS C-CLASS EVENTS ON IT'S INITIAL
ROTATION, HAS RETURNED AT LATITUDE S26, BUT IS STILL TOO CLOSE TO
THE EAST LIMB TO BE PROPERLY DELINEATED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 MAR-12 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 MAR 090
PREDICTED   10 MAR-12 MAR  092/094/096
90 DAY MEAN        09 MAR 094
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 MAR  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 MAR-12 MAR  005/007-005/010-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 MAR-12 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01