:Product: 19980601RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jun 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 152 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 JUN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE TWO MAIN REGIONS: 8227
(N21W21) AND 8230 (S20E35) SHOWED VERY LITTLE CHANGE OR ACTIVITY
DURING THE DAY. BOTH REGIONS HAVE "DSO-BETA" SPOT GROUPS. REGION
8227 PRODUCED A SF AT 01/0700Z WITH NO CORRELATED X-RAY ACTIVITY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8227 AND 8230.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT EXCEEDED THRESHOLD LEVEL OF 1000PFU AT
01/1530Z AND HAS REMAINED ELEVATED FOR THE REST OF THE REPORTING
PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 JUN-04 JUN
CLASS M    10/15/15
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 JUN 100
PREDICTED   02 JUN-04 JUN  098/098/100
90 DAY MEAN        01 JUN 108
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAY  004/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN  005/008-007/008-007/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 JUN-04 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01