:Product: 19980607RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 158 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 JUN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW.  ALL REGIONS APPEAR STABLE OR
DECLINING.  A SMALL C FLARE WAS OBSERVED AT 1443UT FROM REGION 8232
(S20E09).  REGION 8237 (S25E69) HAS ROTATED OVER THE EAST LIMB AS A
SMALL BXO SPOT GROUP.  A TYPE II SWEEP WAS REPORTED AT 0912UT.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ISOLATED CLASS C FLARES ARE EXPECTED, PRIMARILY FROM REGION 8232.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE.  SOME MINOR
STORMING AT HIGH LATITUDES OCCURRED EARLY IN THE UT DAY.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 JUN-10 JUN
CLASS M    20/20/20
CLASS X    05/05/05
PROTON     01/01/05
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 JUN 113
PREDICTED   08 JUN-10 JUN  115/118/119
90 DAY MEAN        07 JUN 110
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUN  015/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUN  012/014
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUN-10 JUN  010/010-018/018-012/015
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 JUN-10 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/30/30
MINOR STORM           10/15/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/06/06
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/30/30
MINOR STORM           10/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/06/06