:Product: 19980623RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jun 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 174 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 23 JUN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  22/2100Z
TO 23/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW, BASED ON TWO C1/SF EVENTS FROM
REGION 8253 (N18E66). THE REST OF THE VISIBLE DISK HAS BEEN STABLE
AND UNREMARKABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW, WITH CONTINUED ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS LIKELY FROM
REGION 8253.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 22/2100Z TO 23/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 24 JUN-26 JUN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           23 JUN 096
PREDICTED   24 JUN-26 JUN  098/099/100
90 DAY MEAN        23 JUN 107
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 JUN  008/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 JUN  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 JUN-26 JUN  005/008-010/010-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 24 JUN-26 JUN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01