:Product: 19980629RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jun 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 180 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 29 JUN 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  28/2100Z
TO 29/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8253 (N18W15) PRODUCED
TWO C-CLASS EVENTS DURING THE PERIOD, AND REMAINS THE MOST
IMPRESSIVE GROUP ON THE DISK. SLIGHT DECAY HAS OCCURRED THERE
RECENTLY. REGION 8260 (S20E56) HAS GROWN TO BE A MODERATE SIZED
GROUP IN WHITE LIGHT AT 280 MILLIONTHS, BUT AS YET HAS BEEN
UNPRODUCTIVE. ONE NEW REGION WAS ASSIGNED, THAT BEING 8262 (N18E04).
THE LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 28/2100Z TO 29/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 30 JUN-02 JUL
CLASS M    30/30/30
CLASS X    05/05/05
PROTON     05/05/05
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           29 JUN 119
PREDICTED   30 JUN-02 JUL  120/125/125
90 DAY MEAN        29 JUN 108
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JUN  002/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JUN  003/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JUN-02 JUL  005/010-010/012-010/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 30 JUN-02 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/25/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01