:Product: 19980707RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1998 Jul 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 188 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 JUL 1998
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY ONE C-CLASS EVENT
OCCURRED, A C1/1F FROM SPOTLESS REGION 8259 (N25W51) AT 07/1015UT,
REGION 8264 PRODUCED A B7/SF AT 07/1955UT. THE REST OF THE REGIONS
HAVE BEEN QUIET. THE NUMBER OF SPOTTED REGIONS HAS DECREASED FROM
SEVEN TO FOUR INCLUDING THE NEW NUMBERED NEW REGION 8267 (N33E33).
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGION 8264 COULD POSSIBLY PRODUCE C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 JUL-10 JUL
CLASS M    10/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 JUL 115
PREDICTED   08 JUL-10 JUL  112/110/108
90 DAY MEAN        07 JUL 108
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JUL  010/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JUL  010/017
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JUL-10 JUL  010/008-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 JUL-10 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/30/30
MINOR STORM           15/15/15
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                40/40/40
MINOR STORM           20/20/20
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05